Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 255.177448 287.876877 324.179178 367.651501 418.531829 476.483596 547.892185
2025-05-04 206.313019 249.109397 300.830451 368.662116 456.352832 567.389854 721.060833
2025-05-11 175.462168 220.894774 278.785867 359.267497 470.372532 621.591831 848.796561
2025-05-18 154.164484 200.533166 262.141334 351.912581 482.726969 671.947816 977.251697
2025-05-25 143.618272 192.467891 259.917704 362.617402 520.180906 762.002379 1180.961966
2025-06-01 131.727496 180.874095 250.911519 361.530061 538.813789 825.188190 1353.610740
2025-06-08 120.320493 168.626246 239.332890 354.574804 546.419615 870.677584 1504.109399
2025-06-15 112.464306 160.731306 233.224304 355.048072 565.590172 937.971383 1709.092419
2025-06-22 103.785005 150.755276 222.832213 347.119632 568.891948 976.847507 1866.260648
2025-06-29 97.623104 144.104598 216.973009 345.922842 583.606656 1038.888330 2086.611345
2025-07-06 89.586825 133.854631 204.384403 331.686842 572.277306 1047.908307 2190.449295
2025-07-13 87.481858 132.934653 207.009671 344.491637 613.753924 1170.912306 2596.589851
2025-07-20 85.584579 132.312396 210.254494 359.157464 661.916755 1319.643925 3122.972351
2025-07-27 81.526663 127.776843 206.365969 360.045155 682.206042 1410.876804 3529.049618
2025-08-03 76.336566 120.927586 197.805757 350.929519 679.831333 1448.341018 3792.354018
2025-08-10 71.911210 115.102505 190.625975 343.782696 680.746970 1494.060959 4098.779162
2025-08-17 70.290550 114.071864 192.087000 354.182832 722.664002 1652.775793 4843.542555
2025-08-24 67.279386 110.350747 188.229038 353.126531 737.736368 1743.842453 5394.226410
2025-08-31 63.796254 105.557520 181.983540 346.369418 738.141131 1794.489010 5817.271071
2025-09-07 61.443247 102.685927 179.213844 346.829232 756.433833 1900.886247 6519.371138
2025-09-14 58.325719 98.216020 173.015200 339.125648 752.949509 1941.628286 6963.904146
2025-09-21 56.147705 95.383828 169.861920 337.962699 766.381645 2038.284576 7720.282604
2025-09-28 52.769774 90.105583 161.484112 324.127180 744.235588 2016.208528 7893.266787